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| Latest Prediction Posting |
| Posted By: DHorozov@ 2013-05-18 02:33:50 |
| Match: Hamburger - Bayer Leverkusen |
| Home Score: |
2 |
Away Score: |
2 |
| Reason: |
| I expect a lot of goals in this one.
Hamburger is still with a chance for the Europe places and a top six finish, being a point behind Eintracht and three behind Freiburg, who can easily lose to Schalke today. The team is in good shape recently, winning four times in the last six rounds (4-1-1) and today will try to do their best to snatch another victory in their last home game and keep their chances for top six alive. Four of the last five games of the team ended with over 2.5 goals, as two of them even with over 3.5.
Bayer Leverkusen guaranteed their third place in the table and a direct place in the group stage of the Champions League from a long time, but this does not stop them of playing with enough motivation and determination in every game. Still, they think mostly about scoring goals. They won four times in a row in the last four rounds in the Bundesliga, as well as have no defeat in the last seven games (5-2-0) and I'm pretty sure they will want to keep this unbeaten run in the last round as well. Five of their last seven league games ended with over 2.5 goals in them, as four of them even with over 3.5.
In this last rounds we normally see a lot of goals in the games and I think today won't make any difference. In the previous rounds in the two matches, in which Leverkusen and Hamburger take place there were a total of ten goals scored and I think we will see at least four here as well. Over 3.5 at odds around 2.15 looks really good for me. |
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| Posted By: DHorozov@ 2013-05-18 02:26:37 |
| Match: Saint Etienne - Marseille |
| Home Score: |
2 |
Away Score: |
0 |
| Reason: |
| Saint Etienne lost their momentum in the last part of the campaign and the tiredness said its word finally. The team didn't won in the last three rounds (0-2-1) and now have to pray for a miracle to reach the third place and play in the Champions League next season, but I'm sure they will try until they have a shot at that. Saint Etienne already have a guaranteed place in the Europa League after their win in the League Cup, so they just can make their season even better with a strong finish of the campaign. And still this will be the last game of the season in front of their fans and will try and finish this great campaign for them, winning their first trophy in more than 30 years, in a style. The team is unbeaten in their last seven league games at home (5-2-0).
With a really strong run recently and four wins in a row in the league, Marseille managed to guarantee their second position in the table and the direct place in the group phase of the Champions League, which is a great news for them, as they need the money badly. But in all those matches in the last two months Marseille had tons of luck and should have lost at least twice in the last eight rounds, but because of that luck they didn't. However, with a guaranteed second position, I think that the motivation won't be that big for the visitors tonight and maybe the players are already thinking about vacation, after doing their job perfectly in the last months.
The odds for the home win are around 1.80 and for me this is good enough for a try. |
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| Posted By: DHorozov@ 2013-05-18 02:20:19 |
| Match: Freiburg - Schalke 04 |
| Home Score: |
1 |
Away Score: |
2 |
| Reason: |
| Direct battle for the fourth position and the last Champions League spot in this match between Freiburg and Schalke and it should be a real cracker.
Freiburg won against Greuther Furth last weekend and after Stuttgart made them a favor, beating Schalke as visitors, now the difference between the two teams is just a point, which means that only the three points here will enough for Freiburg to take that third position and play in the Champions League next season. But I doubt how the team will manage to do under this big pressure. They did win three times in a row recently at home, but those three victories came against two teams without motivation and one of the bottom sides Augsburg. Also important midfielder Galigiuri (29/5) is out for today with suspension.
Schalke is much more experienced team that their opponent in such tense games and I think that this will be in huge favor for them. Also the visitors does not need to win on any perpose, so the hosts will the the one, that has to attack through the game, which will give great chances for the fast and technician players of Schalke to hit on couter. Barnetta is the only more important miss, but he is not a regular this season, so not a big miss here.
All in all, I think the experience of Schalke will take its role here and the team won't lose that one. I'm on DNB for the visitors here, as the odds for that are around 1.80. |
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| Posted By: DHorozov@ 2013-05-15 09:23:48 |
| Match: Benfica - Chelsea |
| Home Score: |
2 |
Away Score: |
2 |
| Reason: |
| I think we will see a real entertainment tonight in the Europa League final between Chelsea and Benfica in Amsterdam.
Benfica is about to lose the Portugal title in the very last moment and in one epic game against Porto, but everything that turn out for Benfica was a round before that, when they didn't manage to win at home against Estoril, as that draw made the difference from Porto just two points before the direct game. And then in that vital game they conceded a goal in the injury time to lose 1:2 and maybe give up the title. Now Benfica have to concentrate and forget about this game last weekend, as they will play a final in Europe and really have no luck at all in those international finals, having lost the last four the played in a row. Benfica plays really attractive and attacking football and I don't think that they will change their style exactly tonight against Chelsea, as they just cannot defend well and this was saw against Porto really well, when Benfica went in defense, trying to keep the 1:1 draw and conceded at the end.
Chelsea on other hand can become the first team to win Champions League and Europa League in two consecutive seasons. The team showed great spirit to turn the game against Villa in the weekend and finally manage to win with 2:1, which was enough to guarantee them at least fourth position and a Champions League spot for the next campaign, which will allow them now to concentrate only on this final in Amsterdam. With players like Mata, Torres, Lampard, Ramires and Oscar the team has great potential in attack (did not mentioned Hazard, because he will miss the game) and can score in every single moment, something they showed a lot of times this season.
All in all, I expect an open game. The finals in the Europa League are not that tight as the Champions League ones, as to say it directly, there are not so much money involved, as well as not that much of a prize and honor, so the players just tries to give their best and enjoys the moments.
Over is the best option here and I will try it, as the odds are great. |
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| Posted By: DHorozov@ 2013-05-12 02:16:41 |
| Match: Norwich - WBA |
| Home Score: |
1 |
Away Score: |
0 |
| Reason: |
| Norwich have no other alternative, than to look for all the points today against WBA. The team is on sixteenth position in the table, just three points ahead of 18th Wigan and having in mind that in the last round they will play as visitors against Manchester City, than the points today are more than necessary for their safety, or otherwise, they will have to count on the other teams in the last round. Norwich won just once in their last nine league games (1-3-5) and the home defeat against Aston Villa in their last was a really bad result and now they need to bounce back from that defeat really quickly. Still. this was the only defeat for Norwich at home in their last seven league games (2-4-1). Defender Turner (26/3) is out with an injury.
WBA also lost twice in a row recently, as especially in the 2:3 home defeat against Wigan they showed that don't have much motivation at all in this last rounds of the campaign and the opponents that need points can take points from them pretty easily. WBA is on eight position in the table and is having a wonderful season overall, as they cannot drop more than to tenth position, which means that Bromich will finish in the top half of the table, which is a great result for the team. Fortune (22/2) is suspended for today, while Brunt (29/2) and Gera (16/4) are still injured.
I will take Norwich -0.25 here, as the draw is also a possibility. |
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